$230MM Dividend

https://www.texaspacific.com/investors/news-events/press-releases/detail/158/texas-pacific-land-corporation-announces-special-dividend

$10/share dividend and $700MM balance sheet cash target announced. Nice progress.

But I’ll still complain. The $230MM payout could have taken out 2% of the float earlier this year. Save me some taxes and boost my ownership of the assets please.

I also like the idea of a cash target but think it should be much lower. The 5% return on T-Bills is either flat or negative in real return when adjusted for inflation. A company with cash coming in hand over fist doesn’t really need a conventional industrial cap goods-style fortress balance. Low expenses (which TPL has) are the real fortress.

That all being said, it’s easy to pout but the good moves are compounding though maybe they aren’t the exact moves that I would make. Can’t ignore that.

Next move is to use the remaining 3 to 1 authorization for another split. Then we can pack our bags for the S&P500.

Get Those Proposals In

Deadline is June 12th.

https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1811074/000114036123047453/ny20009971x1_def14a.htm

What is the deadline for receipt of director nominations and stockholder proposals to be presented at the next annual meeting of stockholders? 

In order for any stockholder proposal submitted pursuant to Rule 14a-8 promulgated under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), to be included in the Company’s Proxy Statement to be issued in connection with the 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, such stockholder proposal must be received by the Company no later than June 12, 2024. Any such stockholder proposal submitted, including any accompanying supporting statement, may not exceed 500 words, as per Rule 14a-8(d) of the Exchange Act. Any director nominations or stockholder proposals submitted outside the processes of Rule 14a-8 promulgated under the Exchange Act, which a stockholder intends to bring forth at the Company’s 2024 annual meeting of stockholders, will be untimely unless it is received between July 13, 2024 and August 12, 2024 in accordance with the Company’s Amended and Restated Bylaws (the “Bylaws”). In order for stockholders to give timely notice of nominations for directors for inclusion on a universal proxy card in connection with the 2024 annual meeting of stockholders, notice must be submitted no later than September 11, 2024 and include all of the information required by Rule 14a-19 under the Exchange Act. Any changes to such dates will be disclosed in our periodic reports on Form 10-Q or Form 10-K, or current reports on Form 8-K, filed with the SEC. Any such request should be directed to the Company’s Secretary at 1700 Pacific Avenue, Suite 2900, Dallas, Texas, 75201

NVR

Gas up the jet and go have lunch with the NVR team? Capital allocation is the legacy make/break decision.

Earnings and Shelf

Press release , 10-Q , and Shelf

Hearty earnings and some reasons to feel good in the press release; namely the formation an M&A committee and the news of developing desalination technology.

The shelf filing is the next logical step in the post share authorization process. Whether management intends to issue shares or not, having this filing in place makes life easy should the need arise.

My two (easily predictable) opinions:

  1. Too much cash on the balance sheet ($837MM or 6.5% of market cap). I’d like a nice, tax-efficient, buyback please
  2. Stock issuance in the case of TPL is like selling shares of a money tree who’s annual payout rises in step functions. Any current price is likely way too low (Don’t dilute me bro)

Geothermal

Businesses such as Sage and government researchers say there’s a lot more geothermal power to be had by pumping fluid through hot rock where there is no natural water. With technological advances, a government analysis predicts geothermal power in the U.S. could grow to 90 gigawatts by 2050. That would have been enough to power the entire Texas grid during last summer’s highest-demand day.

Call and Appeal

Busy couple days!

Yesterday was the court date for the appeal. Couple quotes from a Bloomberg article last night (behind a paywall).

The company had a long history as a trust, and it wanted to convert to a Delaware corporation so it could “avail itself of the flexibility of the corporate form,” such as being able to issue equity, Thompson Bayliss of Abrams & Bayliss LLP said.

“Share authorizations were top of mind,” and the “ultra-sophisticated” shareholders who opposed a proposal to issue additional shares were aware of those discussions as well as their obligations, he said.

“They knew what they were doing when they traded stockholder-level influence for board-level influence in a form of agreement that’s quite common to settle proxy contests,” Bayliss said.

The investors argue the Chancery Court erred when in finding that they had traded away their voting rights on an action that “fundamentally changes the nature of everyone’s ownership” of Texas Pacific, said Christopher Duffy of Vinson & Elkins LLP, representing the investors.

The proposed share authorization is “absolutely recapitalization,” Duffy said, leading to some back-and-forth with the justices over the definition of the word. He argued the dictionary definitions of recapitalization favor the investors.

But Vice Chancellor J. Travis Laster, “instead of stopping at the dictionary definition and instead of finding that our interpretation fit neatly and unambiguously within it,” resorted to his “gut sense” of the word to rule against the investors, Duffy said.

Justice Gary Traynor said Laster’s opinion noted that the Supreme Court previously found that recapitalization “has no generally accepted meaning.”

“What are we to do with that?” he asked Duffy.

In other news, the 4Q earnings call took place this morning. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4672388-texas-pacific-land-corporation-tpl-q4-2023-earnings-call-transcript.

The transcript is a good read and Glover was well measured in his remarks. I think it is a positive step that the company is confronting the frustrations of investors.

The bad news (my interpretation) is that the company thinks the stock is rich. Management leans on “cash flow per share” as a key metric in evaluating capital allocation (and getting paid). In short (again, my interpretation), they think that this is the top of the mountain as far as O&G technology goes and that asset valuations will not increase. Instead, they are of the opinion that FCF can be grown by incremental deal making.

Investors in this company typically have a long time preference. The time preference of the C-suite appears low. It all makes sense. Careers have short spans and seats are hot. People want to get paid and create reasons to keep getting paid. I get it. Just don’t expect the stock to be a “compounder” with that mentality. The agency problem lives on.

4Q23 and 2023 Earnings

10-K

Earnings press release

Strong but flattening earnings profile over the quarter and year. If the equity base was meaningfully concentrating, higher EPS would take care of itself (and management would be regarded as independent thinking, high quality stewards of capital). Alas it isn’t.

$725MM in cash on the balance sheet or $95/share if you’re keeping score at home. Hopefully they roll T-Bills better than they manage water expenses.

Cash on balance sheet is 6.2% of market cap. Your ownership stake could be passively 6.2% larger if capital was returned efficiently.

The board solution was to put “special meeting” up for a vote this fall even though we voted for it last fall. Thanks. No word on “written consent”. ISS probably won’t like that.

The Company also announced that on February 12, 2024, the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee recommended to the full Board that the Board consider including in the 2024 proxy materials a proposal granting stockholders the right to call a special meeting for approval at the Company’s 2024 Annual Meeting. Pursuant to the recommendation of the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, the Company is currently evaluating the appropriate parameters for such right, with the intent to make a final recommendation to the full Board prior to the release of the proxy materials for the Company’s 2024 Annual Meeting of Stockholders.