4Q20 and 2020 Earnings

10-K & Press Release

  • Share buybacks back! at discretion of board
  •  7,756,156 shares out as of 1/31/21
  • Quarterly dividends going forward. Starting at $2.75/share. 1% regular div yield
  • $44.8mm net income; $5.77/share
  • Income down $24.3mm vs $4Q19. Primary driver of that was $20.4mm reduction in land sales
  • First month WTI futures were $35.82, $45.10, and $48.46 to close Oct, Nov, and Dec 20 respectively. Compare with 2019 at $54.15, $55.41, and $61.12 over the same three months.
  • Expenses $6.1mm lower Q4 to Q4
  • Water top line down, primarily on price, but so are expenses. Will be interesting to see where water goes from here given consolidation and the long term thinking touted by the E&Ps
  • Largest customer OXY is slowly de-levering and has found some stable ground
  • Search for new compensation consultant being undertaken by comp committee
  • Are the independent directors not paid enough at $24k a piece?
  • $281mm in cash on the balance sheet. Will be ~$250mm after March dividend payment. $250mm = 2.9% of market cap
  • BOE:  2019 = 13,700.  2020 = 16,200 
  • DUC:  2019 = 486.  2020 = 531



Welcome, ETFs

PBSM (0.14%), OSCV (1.06%), IUSS (0.09%), MGMT (2.77%) all appear to have taken positions in Texas Pacific Land Corp as of late. OSCV, IUSS, and MGMT appear to be an actively managed funds. PBSM is a passive fund that tracks the MSCI USA Small Cap Index. The commonality amongst all of these funds is a focus on small cap stocks.

To be sure, these are tiny positions and are in no way responsible for the recent move in share price. That said, these ETFs report positioning daily so as to facilitate create/redeems. Traditional MFs (active and passive) and some active ETFs are not required to report as frequently. We’ll get more clarity after 3/31 filings roll in.

Fun fact: As of this writing, the market cap of TPL is $9.1B. There are currently 36 constituents in the S&P500 with market capitalizations smaller than that of TPL.

Delaware IRRs

Platts:Higher prices lead to better returns, but producers still cautious

The Delaware continues to lead all US shale plays as a stronger Waha price has boosted most of the region’s robust wellhead gas revenue, pushing this region’s IRRs into the 25% area. With IRRs of 20% to 30%, operators will likely start to increase their completion activity quickly in the near term, according to Platts Analytics. Hydraulic fracturing of the approximately 200 drilled-but-uncompleted wells will help Texas and New Mexico operators stabilize the region’s production after the reduction in activity experienced in 2020.